Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3802
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 3802 · SEA → PDX
departs 10:35 AM PT · arrives 11:41 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1 16%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
10am departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 1,900 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.