OO 3915 · AUS → BZN

took off 10:57 AM CT · landed 12:59 PM MT (scheduled 10:11 AM CT → 12:36 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BZN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

BZN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3915 · AUS → BZN

Odds over time

How late did it get to BZN?