Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4027 LANDED 9:29 AM CT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OO 4027 · IND → AUS

took off 8:07 AM ET · landed 9:29 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4027 · IND → AUS

Odds over time