OO 408 · IAH → CHA

took off 8:19 PM CT · landed 10:52 PM ET (scheduled 8:21 PM CT → 11:26 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CHA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CHA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CHA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 408 · IAH → CHA

Odds over time

How late did it get to CHA?