Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4095
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4095 · ATL → SHV
departs 9:00 PM ET · arrives 9:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SHV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SHV?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
SHV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.17 in
SHV (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.