Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4117
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4117 · SHV → ATL
departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 10:52 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1 14%
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SHV that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
SHV is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SHV (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.