Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4128 · EUG → SEA
departs 6:15 AM PT · arrives 7:38 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/1 8%
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
EUG is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from EUG are usually not late
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.