Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4149
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4149 · SEA → EUG
departs 11:30 AM PT · arrives 12:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at EUG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EUG?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
EUG (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.