Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4470 · JAC → SLC
departs 11:28 AM MT · arrives 12:38 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave JAC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
JAC is prone to delays
↑
Saturdays in October are usually busier than average
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAC
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
JAC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.