Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4676
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4676 · MBS → ORD
departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 9:31 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MBS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
MBS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.