Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4741
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 4741 · MSO → LAX
departs 7:15 AM MT · arrives 9:17 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
MSO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
7am departures from MSO are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 6 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.