OO 490 · ORD → FWA

took off 7:11 PM CT · landed 8:42 PM ET (scheduled 7:23 PM CT → 9:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FWA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FWA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 490 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late did it get to FWA?