Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4930 · SJT → DFW
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from SJT are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.20 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.