Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4955
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 4955 · ORD → COS
departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:52 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at COS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to COS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at COS
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
COS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.