Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4960
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4960 · DRO → DFW
departs 5:06 PM MT · arrives 8:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 86%
Fri 10/2 64%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DRO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DRO
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DRO (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.