Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4963
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4963 · DRO → DFW
departs 10:21 AM MT · arrives 1:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Fri 10/2 45%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DRO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DRO
↓
10am departures from DRO are usually not late
Weather at each end
DRO (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.