Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 4992 · DFW → AUS
departs 7:41 AM CT · arrives 8:52 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Fri 10/2 55%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.