Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5005
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5005 · IAH → LAX
departs 8:15 PM CT · arrives 9:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.