Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5014 · TYS → ORD
departs 1:05 PM ET · arrives 2:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at TYS that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.16 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.