Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5086
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5086 · CHA → IAH
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 8:23 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
CHA is prone to delays
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at CHA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CHA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.06 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.