OO 5219 · IAH → CRP

took off 9:50 PM CT · landed 10:40 PM CT (scheduled 9:32 PM CT → 10:45 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CRP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CRP that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CRP is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CRP (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5219 · IAH → CRP

Odds over time

How late did it get to CRP?