OO 5288 · PSP → IAH

took off 12:15 PM PT · expected to land 4:52 PM CT (scheduled 12:01 PM PT → 5:30 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PSP (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5288 · PSP → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?