Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5307
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5307 · FAT → LAX
departs 1:58 PM PT · arrives 3:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1 15%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
FAT is prone to delays
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.