Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5336
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5336 · MEM → ORD
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 8:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 74%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 43%
Wed 10/7 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 51% of the time recently
↑
6pm departures from MEM are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.