OO 5365 · MSY → IAH

departs 5:16 AM CT · arrives 6:48 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 567 ft, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MSY are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.29 in

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5365 · MSY → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?