OO 5368 · IAH → SHV

departs 8:10 PM CT · arrives 9:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SHV?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ SHV usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

SHV (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5368 · IAH → SHV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SHV?