Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
OO 5384 · SAN → LAX
departs 10:49 AM PT · arrives 11:58 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 19%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from SAN are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.