Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5396
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5396 · IAH → SHV
departs 6:07 PM CT · arrives 7:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SHV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SHV?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
6pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
SHV usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.21 in
SHV (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.