Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5431
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5431 · LNK → DEN
departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 5:57 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±4 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave LNK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LNK
Weather at each end
LNK (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.