Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5441
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
OO 5441 · IAH → TUL
departs 6:20 PM CT · arrives 8:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Fri 10/9 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
6pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.