Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5465
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
OO 5465 · RDU → ORD
departs 1:15 PM ET · arrives 2:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at RDU that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.10 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.