Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5479 · SAT → SFO
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:55 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SFO that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 1,000 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.25 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 2 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.