Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5479 · SFO → MRY
departs 10:05 AM PT · arrives 11:10 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MRY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MRY?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at MRY that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MRY (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.