Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5531
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5531 · OKC → IAH
departs 1:53 PM CT · arrives 3:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at OKC that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.11 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.