OO 5635 · ORD → MBS

departs 9:22 PM CT · arrives 11:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MBS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MBS

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MBS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5635 · ORD → MBS

Odds over time

How late will it get to MBS?