Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5647 LANDED 12:48 PM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

OO 5647 · FAT → SFO

took off 12:18 PM PT · landed 12:48 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ 12pm departures from FAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

FAT (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5647 · FAT → SFO

Odds over time