OO 5702 · ASE → IAH

departs 1:16 PM MT · arrives 5:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ ASE is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ ASE is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

ASE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5702 · ASE → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?