Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5713 · SBP → SFO
departs 8:35 PM PT · arrives 9:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 61% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from SBP are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SBP
Weather at each end
SBP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.