OO 5782 · DEN → ASE

departs 9:45 AM MT · arrives 10:53 AM MT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ASE at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5782 · DEN → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?