Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 5798 · MEM → IAH
departs 3:23 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.