Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5837
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5837 · SHV → IAH
departs 3:35 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SHV that day
↑
SHV is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SHV is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SHV (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.60 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.