Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5850 LANDED 8:21 PM PT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OO 5850 · JAC → SFO

took off 7:27 PM MT · landed 8:21 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

JAC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5850 · JAC → SFO

Odds over time