Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5977
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 5977 · CHO → ORD
departs 12:20 PM ET · arrives 1:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave CHO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at CHO that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
12pm departures from CHO are usually not late
Weather at each end
CHO (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.17 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.