OO 6018 · MBS → ORD

departs 7:06 PM ET · arrives 7:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MBS

Weather at each end

MBS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6018 · MBS → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?