OO 6039 · ILM → DEN

took off 4:31 PM ET · landed 6:07 PM MT (scheduled 4:05 PM ET → 6:15 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ILM that day

↑ 4pm departures from ILM are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.00 in

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6039 · ILM → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?