Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6216
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 6216 · TYS → ORD
departs 6:22 AM ET · arrives 7:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1 16%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TYS that day
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.31 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.