OO 6259 · DFW → SAF

took off 3:28 PM CT · landed 3:46 PM MT (scheduled 3:22 PM CT → 4:17 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAF that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

SAF (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6259 · DFW → SAF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAF?