Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6386
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 6386 · ASE → ORD
departs 11:20 AM MT · arrives 3:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/1 27%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
ASE is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.