OO 6410 · SHV → DFW

departs 6:43 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SHV that day

Weather at each end

SHV (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DFW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6410 · SHV → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?