Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1071SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1071 · SAN → IAD
departs 8:00 AM PT · arrives 4:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±2 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.